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"fraction_of_stable_pool_lost": 0.9286363636363636}], "note": "A false positive spends one DFT relaxation or one synthesis attempt: bounded, observed, recoverable. A false negative silently deletes a real material from the campaign: unbounded and invisible, because nothing downstream ever reports it."}, "findings": {"f1_not_superlinear_in_sigma": "FALSIFIED EXPECTATION: the peak noise-resolved elasticity is |dlogF1/dlogsigma| = 0.815 +/- 0.038 (2-sigma upper bound 0.890), below MAE's constant slope of 1, so F1 does not decay faster than linearly in sigma. Single-interval estimates scatter up to 0.921, which is consistent with the smoothed value given Monte-Carlo error and is not evidence of a super-linear region.", "f1_not_a_power_law": "F1's local elasticity ranges 0.064 to 0.815 while MAE's is pinned at 1.000; F1 falls from 0.9 to 0.3 across only 33.2 meV/atom of MAE.", "predicted_hull_shrinks": "Self-consistent protocol: predicted stable count falls 10.6 -> 5.2 as sigma grows, opposite to the naive expectation that noise manufactures spurious stable phases.", "protocol_matters": "At sigma = 200 meV/atom the fixed-hull protocol predicts 63.6 stable structures against 5.2 for the self-consistent one: same energies, opposite failure mode.", "mae_f1_inversion": "Predictor P beats Q on MAE (20.0 vs 48.5 meV/atom) and loses on F1 (0.454 vs 0.824) in 96.5% of trials."}}